Poker Variance Simulator
poker variance simulator
Protecting yourself When Ace Sequencing
The first thing to do would be to make sure you are not misjudging which cards will become the key cards (which I'm pretty confident you aren't). Once you know that your technique is correct then look at the game conditions. If the dealer is not doing anything differently then you might just be having bad variance. After all, the dealer is going to get the ace pretty often if you are only off by one card. That is just the nature of sequencing. The problem with playing heads up is that the only other person to get the ace is the dealer.
If you know you or dealer will get an ace in a hand you have a massive advantage (because of blackjack payout and ability to hit soft etc.) What happened is just variance. Half the time he gets it half you do.
I make ace prediction for about 18 hours the week,
but at 6 deck shoes.
professionell since 1 month in my country.
To avoid that the dealer gets the ace.
I have to spread at least to 5 boxes.But sometimes it happens instead.
That means, the first two boxes with big bets and the others
with min. bets, if there are no other players.
I would make a simulation with cards at home, shuffling like the dealer,
and notice the range of the outcoming key cards and the aces.
The trouble with ace sequencing is that you don't know for sure when the ace is coming out so the dealer has a good chance of getting it too. You use key cards to predict the ace. With one riffle the sequence of cards in the discard tray gets separated by about one card, but you don't actually know how many cards separate the key card from the ace for 100% fact.
It wouldn't have to be a perfect riffle. Assuming the cards are on average about 1-2 cards displaced and you knew the thoeretical order then you should know what the hole card is.
About the Author
Thanks to http://www.blackjake.net
http://www.casinoebooks.com> i am a player that love the game and help gamblers.
Protecting yourself When Ace Sequencing
It would be much easier for the dealer to get sloppy if there is only one player at the table. They might be mixing the two hands as they collect them, transposing them (the dealer's hand on top instead of on the bottom or vice versa), riffling differently or some other weird mix-up.
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The first thing to do would be to make sure you are not misjudging which cards will become the key cards (which I'm pretty confident you aren't). Once you know that your technique is correct then look at the game conditions. If the dealer is not doing anything differently then you might just be having bad variance. After all, the dealer is going to get the ace pretty often if you are only off by one card. That is just the nature of sequencing. The problem with playing heads up is that the only other person to get the ace is the dealer.
If you know you or dealer will get an ace in a hand you have a massive advantage (because of blackjack payout and ability to hit soft etc.) What happened is just variance. Half the time he gets it half you do.
I make ace prediction for about 18 hours the week,
but at 6 deck shoes.
professionell since 1 month in my country.
To avoid that the dealer gets the ace.
I have to spread at least to 5 boxes.But sometimes it happens instead.
That means, the first two boxes with big bets and the others
with min. bets, if there are no other players.
I would make a simulation with cards at home, shuffling like the dealer,
and notice the range of the outcoming key cards and the aces.
The trouble with ace sequencing is that you don't know for sure when the ace is coming out so the dealer has a good chance of getting it too. You use key cards to predict the ace. With one riffle the sequence of cards in the discard tray gets separated by about one card, but you don't actually know how many cards separate the key card from the ace for 100% fact.
About the Author
Thanks to http://www.blackjake.net
http://www.casinoebooks.com> i am a player that love the game and help gamblers.
